Brendon Lindsey
EF3
I havent really looked into the models butttttt, I found some cool picures I'm posting. It would be crazy if Africa just keeps sending them over!
How Long Could The Parade Continue?
- Thread starter Brendon Lindsey
- Start date
Connor McCrorey
EF3
We do seem to have entered an extremely active part of the CV season. With Danielle and Earl each forecast to become majors, 97L tagged at 60% right now, and more waves on the way each looking just as nasty as the last, this season's ACE good get really high really fast.
Chance Metz
EF2
Hurricanes on parade!! At this rate we may be up to w by the end of next month.
Jason Foster
That storm that is in/around southern Mali looks decent. I'm not a tropical forecaster, but I have watched this kind of thing before and I would not be surprised if this next grouping gets investigated too.
What is even more interesting is to keep going back further east to watch the parade of storms into the Indian Ocean and further.
What is even more interesting is to keep going back further east to watch the parade of storms into the Indian Ocean and further.
Chance Metz
EF2
Wow all the way to the Indian Ocean! That is at least 3 months worth of possible tropical systems. Looks like we are in for a wild season.
rdale
EF5
I'm not sure I follow your reasoning... What is indicating to you that we'll have tropical systems from today through November 27th?
Zack Hargrove
EF2
By mid-October, the waves near Africa will begin to tear apart from sheer as the wind patterns change man. Not to mention, the water temps will cool down again around that area. October-December turn into a mirror image of June-August, where storms will typically only form in the Gulf area. Its pretty standard and the situation we see now is completely normal, even for slow seasons.
Chance Metz
EF2
I did say possible storms, al ot of them will be duds but some of them will becoming major hurricanes.
Zack Hargrove
EF2
They won't be for 3 months, however. I would suggest you study some tropical weather forecasting more in depth.
Chance Metz
EF2
You can't have major hurricanes in Novemeber? I seem to recall they have happned in the past although they are very rare.
Zack Hargrove
EF2
You aren't getting the gist of what I'm saying. We can have major hurricanes in November sometimes... of course. But you were talking about 3 months of hurricanes coming from the belt/parade out of Africa. By the later months, the waters in the East Atlantic and the shear heavy atmosphere cannot support development. I would venture to say 90% of cyclones that develop in the later months of the season develop from disturbances in the Gulf or the extreme Western Atlantic because these are the only areas that can actually support development.
Chance Metz
EF2
I did not mean 3 moths slid of hurricanes. I meant there will be some hurricnaes and tropical stroms coming off Africa until the end of hurricane season. There may be a few weeks of notihng and then a week or two of more activity.
Zack Hargrove
EF2
Well, I am not going to get into this with you anymore, but the later systems will not be coming off Africa is what I'm saying. The belt of storms is impressive right now, but it is nothing unusual and you're treating it like it something extremely abnormal. Again, please actually study some tropical forecasting if you want to post on a serious forecasting forum.
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