• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

Global Warming may reduce hurricane formation in the Atlantic

  • Thread starter Thread starter Alexandre Aguiar
  • Start date Start date

Alexandre Aguiar

Researchers debate warming, hurricanes

By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID, AP Science Writer

Tue Apr 17, 11:15 PM ET

WASHINGTON - The debate over whether global warming affects hurricanes may be running into some unexpected turbulence. Many researchers believe warming is causing the storms to get stronger, while others aren't so sure. Now, a new study raises the possibility that global warming might even make it harder for hurricanes to form.

The findings, by Gabriel A. Vecchi of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Brian J. Soden of the University of Miami, are reported in Wednesday's issue of Geophysical Research Letters.

Vecchi and Soden used 18 complex computer climate models to anticipate the effects of warming in the years 2001-2020 and 2018-2100.

Included in the results were an increase in vertical wind shear over the tropical Atlantic and eastern Pacific oceans.

Vertical wind shear is a difference in wind speed or direction at different altitudes. When a hurricane encounters vertical wind shear the hurricane can weaken when the heat of rising air dissipates over a larger area.

On the other hand, warm water provides the energy that drives hurricanes, so warmer conditions should make the storms stronger.
...

MOD: Continue reading at link below:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070418/ap_on_sc/hurricanes_warming_3


The original paper published by the magazine can be read here:

http://www.metsul.com/__editor/filemanager/files/2007a/gfdl_wind_shear_and_global_warming.pdf
 
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Global climate change is extremely complex (and non-linear), and we don't know much about the potential effects beyond some things that modeling has shown. I have a feeling that we'll see further teetering in the "more hurricane" vs. "fewer hurricanes" debate as we slowly learn more about the various feedbacks involved and as more computing power comes online.
 
21'st Century Hurricane Study

This is very interesting. If the results of this study turn out to be correct in the quantitative sense and not just the qualitative sence, The U.S. may see less landfalls from Cape Verdy type hurricanes but more landfalls from "home grown" type hurricanes that develope right in the GOM
 
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