Robert Dewey
EF5
I haven't been paying much attention to the models until this morning, and was surprised to see a possible snow event across the Great Lakes region. NAM & GFS are both exceptionally high with snow ratios (+20:1), with 0.50 to 0.75 inches of QPF. The BUFKIT output shows generally +8 inches of snow across most of the area, with specific sites reaching 12-15 inches (LAN, DTX).
Going over historic events, this setup is quite favorable for a heavy snowfall with a coastal low and a secondary low across OH / IN.
The event it still a couple days out, so lots of time for changes... and I'd be afraid to call for anything over 8 inches at this point.
Going over historic events, this setup is quite favorable for a heavy snowfall with a coastal low and a secondary low across OH / IN.
The event it still a couple days out, so lots of time for changes... and I'd be afraid to call for anything over 8 inches at this point.