Jonathan Merage
EF1
Hey All!
In anticipation of the season's first tornado outbreak, I checked out GHCC's sat imagery (looping both their basic GOES-10 & global composite water vapor) looking for some sign of negative tilting in the troughs ahead (i.e. those still out over the Pacific, around Aleutian longitude). I know analyzing troughs that far out in time & distance isn't the best idea, but I've been looking for some sort of pattern, perhaps atmospheric wave interaction that might induce a trough to tilt back. Now, I'm certainly no expert in fluid mechanics (or atmospheric thermodynamics, for that matter) but it seems to me that, given the necessary conditions in place like plentiful moisture & time of year (climatologically), perhaps the best 'first sign' of an oncoming tornado outbreak (setting aside shortwaves ejected from those Alaskan Gulf lows) lies in the orientation of a trough still over open sea. Just a thought. What are your ideas or opinions on this?
Good luck chasing everyone!
In anticipation of the season's first tornado outbreak, I checked out GHCC's sat imagery (looping both their basic GOES-10 & global composite water vapor) looking for some sign of negative tilting in the troughs ahead (i.e. those still out over the Pacific, around Aleutian longitude). I know analyzing troughs that far out in time & distance isn't the best idea, but I've been looking for some sort of pattern, perhaps atmospheric wave interaction that might induce a trough to tilt back. Now, I'm certainly no expert in fluid mechanics (or atmospheric thermodynamics, for that matter) but it seems to me that, given the necessary conditions in place like plentiful moisture & time of year (climatologically), perhaps the best 'first sign' of an oncoming tornado outbreak (setting aside shortwaves ejected from those Alaskan Gulf lows) lies in the orientation of a trough still over open sea. Just a thought. What are your ideas or opinions on this?
Good luck chasing everyone!