ARCHIVED HWO

[Jason A.C. Brock]

I was wondering if anyone has a copy or knows where I can get a copy of the noon Hazardous Weather Outlook from the Norman Oklahoma forecast area FROM 3/4/04 & also maybe the DFW areas outlook whenever it was posted.

Thx!

Jay

BTW I have also posted all storm, radar, & damage pics of the March 4th event at http://www.texhomastormchasers.com/page10.html

 

[Jeff Snyder]

FLUS44 KOUN 041805 CCA
HWOOKC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CST THU MAR 4 2004

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-051300-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A LARGER PART OF SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

A LARGE SLIGHT RISK AREA SURROUNDS THIS AREA AND INCLUDES THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE HIGH RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44...EAST OF A LINE FROM VERNON TO LAWTON TO EL RENO TO STILLWATER. THE HIGH RISK INCLUDES ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA. THE MODERATE RISK AREA COVERS LOCATIONS EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ALTUS TO KINGFISHER TO PONCA CITY.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM NOON THROUGH 7 PM.

IMPACTS...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON... WITH THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...VERY LARGE DAMAGING HAIL AND VIOLENT WINDS.

A SQUALL LINE DEVELOPED LATE THIS MORNING OVER WEST TEXAS... AND WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH VERY DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE RISK AREAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION FROM THE NORMAN FORECAST OFFICE.

SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD ALSO BE AWARE THAT THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE FAST MOVING...WITH STORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AS FAST AS 50 TO 60 MPH.

DISCUSSION...
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WIND SHEAR...INSTABILITY AND A POTENT STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING THE RISK OF A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. EXTENSIVE CLOUDS ARE LIMITING INSTABILITY SOMEWHAT...BUT IT STILL EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR SIGNIFICANT STORMS TO DEVELOP.

IF DISCRETE STORMS ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IS QUITE HIGH...WITH THE ATTENDANT RISK OF TORNADOES... DAMAGING HAIL AND VIOLENT WINDS.

EVEN IF DISCRETE STORMS DO NOT DEVELOP...THE AMOUNT OF ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM AND SPEED THE STORMS WILL BE MOVING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MODERATE AND HIGH RISK AREAS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST FRIDAY MAR 5.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAIN HAS LEFT THE GROUND SATURATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM FRIDAY.

$$

CMS


********************************************************
FLUS44 KFWD 041751 AAB
HWOFTW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1155 AM CST THU MAR 4 2004

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-051200-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-WISE-YOUNG-
1155 AM CST WED MAR 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. IN
ADDITION...TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH 500 PM.

A SQUALL LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SWEEP EAST AND NORTHEAST ACROSS ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE SQUALL LINE WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES COULD OCCUR WITH THE SQUALL LINE. SHOULD ISOLATED STORMS FORM AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE...THE THREAT OF LONG-LIVED...VERY DAMAGING TORNADOES
WILL INCREASE. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL END WITH PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE.

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS TODAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.

$$

26

 

[Jason A.C. Brock]

THX GUYS!
JAY