The third named storm of this season has formed about 160 miles east of Antigua. Estimated winds are at 40 mph, central minimum pressure 1009 mb, movement to the west/northwest at 10 mph. Current track has Chris passing over the Leeward Islands in the overnight hours tonight and tracking a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and Haiti/Hispaniola Thursday into Friday morning, then tracking over the southern Bahama islands and reaching Andros Island by the early morning hours on Sunday. Based on the current forecast track, one can extrapolate that Chris's eventual destination looks to be the southeastern coast of Florida in the Miami/Fort Lauderdale area in the late Sunday/early Monday timeframe. That might be something to watch if Chris would strenghten significantly. The models are duking it out amongst themselves right now, with the majority of them insisting that Chris will be dissipated by 5 days due to northerly shear tearing it apart out while others (namely the SHIPS) keep it around a 50 kt tropical storm due to shear uncertainties as it moves west/northwestward. The NHC has noted that Chris could potentially move into a low shear, high SST environment between two upper lows in the next couple days which could be very favorable for strenghtening. An Air Force Recon plane is flying out to investigate Chris at 1800 UTC to get a better idea of the storm's structure/location/strength, so we should have a much more clear picture of Chris's true nature at that time.