Scott Olson
EF5
Hurricane Daniel has reached an impressive level of intensity for the Eastern Pacific. Current Dvorak indicates upwards of 125kts. The Hurricane has not only maintained it's intensity for the last 24 hours but has actually strengthend today. Current Eye tempature is near 19C and well cleared out. Here's a close up high resolution of the eye:
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg93.imageshack.us%2Fimg93%2F7610%2F200607212154aquaxvisqkm05edaniel120kts942mb134n1269w9cv7.jpg&hash=a92aff9bd19ba2253293c44e97f94a25)
Vertical shear is around 10kts and will slowly increase over the next 48 hours. Daniel is currently in 27-28C SST's and it will not be crossing into the 26C for at least 48hours. Altimetry Data shows little difference in change of sea height in the coming 36 hours and AOML data shows no change in the depth to the 26C isotherm. So for the next 24 hours it appears Daniel's processes (eyewall replacement) will have the most impact on potiental intensity. The cyclone is forecasted by most models to start taking on a more NW track at 18z Sunday.
It should quickly start to weaken as it crosses outside of the warm belt and into the shallow colder tempatures and increasing vertical shear.
![](/proxy.php?image=http%3A%2F%2Fimg93.imageshack.us%2Fimg93%2F7610%2F200607212154aquaxvisqkm05edaniel120kts942mb134n1269w9cv7.jpg&hash=a92aff9bd19ba2253293c44e97f94a25)
Vertical shear is around 10kts and will slowly increase over the next 48 hours. Daniel is currently in 27-28C SST's and it will not be crossing into the 26C for at least 48hours. Altimetry Data shows little difference in change of sea height in the coming 36 hours and AOML data shows no change in the depth to the 26C isotherm. So for the next 24 hours it appears Daniel's processes (eyewall replacement) will have the most impact on potiental intensity. The cyclone is forecasted by most models to start taking on a more NW track at 18z Sunday.
It should quickly start to weaken as it crosses outside of the warm belt and into the shallow colder tempatures and increasing vertical shear.