Ben Holcomb
EF5
I've been going over every model run for the past couple days for tomorrow and am pleased with what I see. Warm Front draped across the lower peninsula with 2500-3500J/KG of CAPE in place should lead to decent storm development in the mid afternoon sometime after 2 pm. Hodographs are a bit more curved to the east. I especially like the Flint and thumb area around 5pm. SigTor values of over 6 and sigtor ingredient value of 40 is unheard of in Michigan.
This has all the workings to be one of the better days we've had around these parts in a couple years. We'll see how it plays out. It looks like, for once, my house is ground zero as a target.
Morning MCS may mess things up, but hopefully it gets through early and the skies clear out rapidly.
This has all the workings to be one of the better days we've had around these parts in a couple years. We'll see how it plays out. It looks like, for once, my house is ground zero as a target.
Morning MCS may mess things up, but hopefully it gets through early and the skies clear out rapidly.