4/14/09 NOW: FL

[Jason Harris]

Tornado watch till 2 PM and a bowing line is heading from W to E across the central peninsula. Rather early in the day, which seems like it will preclude truly explosive development but it's already 75 (and expected to hit 90 in Melbourne), dewpoint of 70, there's also shear present (effective bulk shear up to 65), CAPE of 1000+ (Most unstable Cape is up to 2000 hitting the west coast of FL currently), midlevel lapse rates are 7.5 (not that bad for FL), and the 0-1 km SR helicity rates are as high as 350--again the area moving in from the west has the best values, and a tornado warning is already on for Pasca county E of Tampa.

I'll be busy at work, but looks like it might be hard to find anything beyond shelf clouds--probably a nice-looking whales mouth with all the turbulence. Mainly just one of these linear 60+winds event, but maybe later in the day, something discrete and more intense?

* update--actually was a tornado report already, so don't blow this off (so to speak) as just a dull linear event:
1231 4 E HOLIDAY PASCO FL 2819 8268 TORNADO DAMAGE REPORTED IN TRINITY OAKS SUBDIVISION. (TBW)

 

[Shane Young]

Had to work too...
Yeah, it was definitely a MCS situation... though a few nice features did spin up as it came across the state. Line definitely packed a punch more than we've seen in a long while around here!
After last week, with the isolated storm producing the tornado near Geneva that I failed to chase when I could have , I'm probably expecting more than I should around here.