Mike Smith
EF5
I'll go ahead and kick things off tonight. My forecast is nearby. I use a four-category scale: Significant, Elevated, High and Extreme.
If there was more moisture, and because this will be at night, I would be forecasting a High risk. A negatively tilted trough is always a favorable synoptic environment. Many of the CAMs are forecasting supercells ahead of the primary line which will probably be the cells most likely to produce.
If you decide to chase, DDC is a very good place to start. There are good motels there and in PTT with good roads in all directions from both cities.
Stay safe and good luck.
![Tornado Forecast 10-12-21 1055p.png Tornado Forecast 10-12-21 1055p.png](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/39/39209-d2dbd6104cf2d025fd4711a9395d4b6a.jpg)
If there was more moisture, and because this will be at night, I would be forecasting a High risk. A negatively tilted trough is always a favorable synoptic environment. Many of the CAMs are forecasting supercells ahead of the primary line which will probably be the cells most likely to produce.
If you decide to chase, DDC is a very good place to start. There are good motels there and in PTT with good roads in all directions from both cities.
Stay safe and good luck.
![Tornado Forecast 10-12-21 1055p.png Tornado Forecast 10-12-21 1055p.png](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/39/39209-d2dbd6104cf2d025fd4711a9395d4b6a.jpg)