2018-05-31 Reports: IL/MO/ND

[Quincy Vagell]

The decision to chase this day was last minute, as if the following day did not look as potentially impressive as it did, I would have had no reason to race toward the international border on a whim.

I chased in western North Dakota and things got started early, as midday convection near Dickinson rapidly organized into a supercell cluster during the early afternoon hours. I chased the main storm for over an hour and it was tornado-warned for much of that time.

The storm never gave any visual cues that it was close to producing a tornado, but there was likely some large to very large hail in its core and for a time, it did feature a ragged, ground-scraping cloud base. I've had a good ratio of storm chases to photogenic storms in the northern Plains, but maybe part of that is simply because I don't to chase up there as much as areas farther south.

The road network was favorable and there were virtually no chasers in the area, but the storm did not produce. There were additional storms later in the day along a trough, but those storms had a similar look - a ragged, low-hanging base, but no focused low-level rotation.

I even drifted into South Dakota as a last ditch effort in the evening, but a pair of storms near the Black Hills faded away long before sunset. A few storms did develop later on in northeastern Wyoming, but they were not visually interesting, so that was it.

 

[Dan Robinson]

Models had indicated supercell and tornado potential in the St. Louis metro on this day, Thursday the 31st. Therefore, my intention was to basically "chase my way home". There was a potential setup in Nebraska the following day, but I initially was not impressed enough with it to go back. Because I was chasing in the Texas panhandle the previous evening, that meant a very short night's sleep at the hotel in Claremore, Oklahoma. I arrived at the hotel at 3:30AM, and had to wake up at 8:30 to get back on the road to make it into St. Louis before storm time. However, as I drove east on I-44 toward home across Missouri and periodically stopped to do my data checks, I could see that due to a morning complex of storms and midday clouds, the St. Louis metro was essentially out of play for tornadoes. The tornado threat instead was becoming more focused in southern Missouri along the remnant outflow from the same storm complex, where skies were also clear and southerly surface winds afforded a better low-level wind profile.

I diverted from the trip home at Rolla, heading south on US 63 to meet the lead cells in a group of several storms east of Springfield. The challenge in this area is the rugged terrain of the Ozarks, closely resembling some parts of West Virginia: mostly forested terrain with very few roads with usable views for storms.

I made it ahead of a cluster of storms on US 60 at Mountain View, where the lead updraft slowly became dominant. This storm was thankfully tracking along the highway. At Winona, the storm began intensifying with scud being pulled upward into the updraft at a rapid pace, all while fighting off outflow from the forward flank. Finally the storm began pulling in inflow from the surface, rotation increased and it appeared to be minutes away from producing a tornado.



While standing outside filming a slowly rotating lowering east of Winona, a two-channel cloud-to-ground lightning strike hit with one channel less than 50 yards away - with instant thunder. Video:

After this, the storm's precip core was overtaking US 60, and I was forced to take a heavily-forested road 27 miles to US 160 to stay south of the storm. During this time I lost visual, and when I finally caught back up to the storm at Poplar Bluff, it had completely dissipated. Meanwhile, a new storm just to my northeast along the Mississippi River near Cape Girardeau produced a very photogenic tornado as it crossed into Illinois. That storm was moving into an area of backed winds into a barely-recovered air mass after the morning storms, something I did not see happening.

At Poplar Bluff, I reviewed the latest data on the Nebraska setup for the next day (June 1), and decided it looked good enough to return to the Plains. I drove back west on US 60 to Springfield, then north to Clinton, Missouri for the night. On the way, I drove through a few transient supercells that were essentially unchaseable due to the lack of good roads. One had decent mammatus near Mountain Grove:



I arrived at my hotel in Clinton just before midnight.