Mike Johnston
EF5
Let's start a thread for a possible event covering portions of the southeast and Ohio valley on April 3rd.
There should be a broad area of 60+ dewpoints over this general area with a narrower area of 65+ dewpoints within the broad area.
A 996mb surface low should begin the day in SE KS and move northeastward to IN as the day progresses and deepen to 993mb.
A secondary jet streak is evident in the upper levels from east TX to IN.
Instability is highest in eastern AR into western TN with helicity highest just north of there.
One of my favorite parameters, the axis of high theta-e air looks to be nosing in to western TN. Overall it looks to me like that will be the area of greatest potential: just SE of the confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio rivers. I like a specific target of Martin, TN.
There should be a broad area of 60+ dewpoints over this general area with a narrower area of 65+ dewpoints within the broad area.
A 996mb surface low should begin the day in SE KS and move northeastward to IN as the day progresses and deepen to 993mb.
A secondary jet streak is evident in the upper levels from east TX to IN.
Instability is highest in eastern AR into western TN with helicity highest just north of there.
One of my favorite parameters, the axis of high theta-e air looks to be nosing in to western TN. Overall it looks to me like that will be the area of greatest potential: just SE of the confluence of the Mississippi and Ohio rivers. I like a specific target of Martin, TN.