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2015-08-01 EVENT: IA

Charles Ryan Mauk

Charles Ryan Mauk

EF0
Siouxland Folks

Thinking of heading out from Fargo. Models look okay so far. CAPE is decent with breakable CIN. Thinking 4pm or so starting near Sioux City or SE
Perhaps more north ...anyways,

Roads: decent??? Never chased out there before.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Just a glance at UCAR NAM, I think Sioux Falls to Sioux City or maybe Sioux Center.
https://www.google.com/maps/@43.0716288,-96.210853,9z
Maybe in SE Sodak. So I'll average it to Mitchell, SD.

But two rivers to tend with, but which river and which side, I have no idea.

Seems with NW flow you want a SW surface flow. I don't think the cape will drop off as fast as NAM thinks,
http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/model/eta33hr_sfc_cape.gif
but rather have cape trailing off in C SD with the veered surface flow there. See a storm going SSE at 20kts, that's the one.

Good luck, good skill!
 
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