kevin-palmer
EF2
This week has had some very unexpected weather. As you know Illinois was under a hatched 10% tornado risk on 7/13 and not a single tornado came of that. Today there was a 2% tornado risk and the SPC mentioned a low risk of 1 or 2 short-lived tornadoes. But that is not what happened, with a violent, long-track tornado occurring near Cameron. I'm sure we'll hear more about the extent of the damage tomorrow.
I went out with very low expectations today. The Hourly Mesoscale Analysis was showing a very small area with a supercell composite of 16, so that's where I targeted. I waited around near Macomb before picking a storm. They first fired in Missouri but I didn't want to go that far. I was about to go after a storm further north in Iowa but then a better option appeared. A new cell fired nearby and I met up with it near Stronghurst. I was very surprised by how quickly a tornado warning was issued. I saw almost no rotation on radar. And anything I did see was not where I expected it to be, near the updraft. But the base soon appeared and showed some amazing circular structure.
![0cea303bddf5b0409282c5e598724d7d.jpg 0cea303bddf5b0409282c5e598724d7d.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9144-a75c553aa70d3878dc3f8f0847e0a593.jpg)
Stronghurst Supercell by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
![1324d21b06aeae5776d112c64faa6dac.jpg 1324d21b06aeae5776d112c64faa6dac.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9150-07ec211af92c3afb9682bc08a2d96032.jpg)
Supercell CG by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
Time Lapse Video
I did not have very good data here. I should have realized based on the storms appearance that it was getting ready to produce. I drove north of Stronghurst and had to make a choice. I could go east after the same storm that may have issues with precipitation hiding any possible tornado. I didn't know that the rotation had tightened up and a tornado was already confirmed at this point. But I decided to go west after an apparent wall cloud. This was a separate line of storms where there appeared to be strong inflow from right to left into a wall cloud along with powerful CG's nearby. This is what lured me away from the tornado, and I regret it.
![388759efe27ff661210ddddb6579281d.jpg 388759efe27ff661210ddddb6579281d.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9145-7f7eb7c0e5a78082dcd0517bef03ed62.jpg)
Between Rain by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
With rain shafts on both sides I realized I was about to lose all visibility so I started heading towards Monmouth. I turned on the radio and heard about the confirmed large PDS tornado which is the last thing I expected to hear. With the twister slowing down to 15 mph I hoped I could emerge out of the rain and see it. But it wasn't possible. Once I started encountering RFD winds I realized it was time to pull over and wait for the rain to stop. I checked on the town of Kirkwood and didn't see any damage. But traffic on Route 34 had come to a standstill. I found an alternate route on the 164 but encountered many areas where 6 inches of water was covering the road and I was glad to have a high clearance vehicle. As I drove through Monmouth I noticed the whole town appeared to be without power. I'm glad the tornado didn't track north a couple miles or there would have been a lot more damage. I hope nobody was killed or badly injured in Cameron. I considered stopping to help but I didn't want to get in the way and according to the radio all roads to the town were closed.
I went out with very low expectations today. The Hourly Mesoscale Analysis was showing a very small area with a supercell composite of 16, so that's where I targeted. I waited around near Macomb before picking a storm. They first fired in Missouri but I didn't want to go that far. I was about to go after a storm further north in Iowa but then a better option appeared. A new cell fired nearby and I met up with it near Stronghurst. I was very surprised by how quickly a tornado warning was issued. I saw almost no rotation on radar. And anything I did see was not where I expected it to be, near the updraft. But the base soon appeared and showed some amazing circular structure.
![0cea303bddf5b0409282c5e598724d7d.jpg 0cea303bddf5b0409282c5e598724d7d.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9144-a75c553aa70d3878dc3f8f0847e0a593.jpg)
Stronghurst Supercell by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
![1324d21b06aeae5776d112c64faa6dac.jpg 1324d21b06aeae5776d112c64faa6dac.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9150-07ec211af92c3afb9682bc08a2d96032.jpg)
Supercell CG by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
Time Lapse Video
I did not have very good data here. I should have realized based on the storms appearance that it was getting ready to produce. I drove north of Stronghurst and had to make a choice. I could go east after the same storm that may have issues with precipitation hiding any possible tornado. I didn't know that the rotation had tightened up and a tornado was already confirmed at this point. But I decided to go west after an apparent wall cloud. This was a separate line of storms where there appeared to be strong inflow from right to left into a wall cloud along with powerful CG's nearby. This is what lured me away from the tornado, and I regret it.
![388759efe27ff661210ddddb6579281d.jpg 388759efe27ff661210ddddb6579281d.jpg](https://stormtrack.org/data/attachments/9/9145-7f7eb7c0e5a78082dcd0517bef03ed62.jpg)
Between Rain by Kevin Palmer, on Flickr
With rain shafts on both sides I realized I was about to lose all visibility so I started heading towards Monmouth. I turned on the radio and heard about the confirmed large PDS tornado which is the last thing I expected to hear. With the twister slowing down to 15 mph I hoped I could emerge out of the rain and see it. But it wasn't possible. Once I started encountering RFD winds I realized it was time to pull over and wait for the rain to stop. I checked on the town of Kirkwood and didn't see any damage. But traffic on Route 34 had come to a standstill. I found an alternate route on the 164 but encountered many areas where 6 inches of water was covering the road and I was glad to have a high clearance vehicle. As I drove through Monmouth I noticed the whole town appeared to be without power. I'm glad the tornado didn't track north a couple miles or there would have been a lot more damage. I hope nobody was killed or badly injured in Cameron. I considered stopping to help but I didn't want to get in the way and according to the radio all roads to the town were closed.
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