2012-09-27 FCST: CO/NM/OK

Joined
May 18, 2004
Messages
285
Location
Centennial, CO
Interesting potential for a short-lived tornado or two over scenic SE CO today (along the lines of Campo) SW into NE NM. Very narrow area of intersecting moist upsloping air and small short wave ejecting out of NM will result in rotational shear and reasonable LCLs. Elevated terrain will bolster initiation off the Rockies with projected CAPE likely to be AOA 1000 J/kg. Sluggish midlevels suggest rapid cell mergers, but I'd bet a storm or two of convective interest should pop up around sunset. Can't make the drive myself, but I like the setup.

Current radar demonstrates boundary pushing east from SE CO into N TX PH. Expect some of that to retrograde with upslope flow today and sneak out under cloud cover to prime the area.

I've been so hungry just to get a forecast out there--man has it been a boring summer/early autumn.
 
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