2012-05-29 FCST: OK/KS

[Eric Birch]

Cu field now showing in OK/KS on dryline and stationary/warm front. Infrared is showing higher tops on CB east of Woodward, OK and SE of Altus, OK. Fredrick radar is showing boundary N/S through Altus and Dodge City radar is painting front south of Dodge City, KS down through north of Liberal, KS. Initiation appears imminate with nice parameters set up from Enid to OKC to Lawton, OK area if a storm can get into this area off the MCS that appears will come together. Lacking in this setup is shear aside from a bulge on the dryline which may occur around the hwy 183 area in OK.

Mods, feel free to add northeast if anyone has any inputs for that location though storms are obviously already occuring.

 

[Eric Birch]

Storm by Altus did come together and the warm front from Dodge City to Vance is now producing storms as well. Obvioulsy, localized rotation could also come together on the warm front and OK mesonet is showing more SE flow by Vance to Dodge City. Doubt these storms will be able to adequately modify there environment to have any significant rotation.

 

[Eric Birch]

Been laying sod all day...
Looks as though the storm west of Dover, OK is trying to get its act together and is showing some rotation. Haven't had time to see how helicity has changed in the OKC area though all other parameters put the usual OKC bullseye out. We'll see...

 

[Eric Birch]

NE of Ames,OK looking like it has rotation now too though not great. That is the storm north of the aforementioned storm so this probably won't last long as southern storm will dominate likely.

 

[Eric Birch]

Last hoorah for this storm. Rotation now on storm by Piedmont, OK and I was wondering if the outflow of the storm approaching from the south would enhance the storm and it appears it has for just a little while until it kills it.

 

[Eric Birch]

On another note, the just south of OK border in TX is looking a little better and is moving SE. This direction might be enhancing its circualtion and it appears to be showing broad rotation in lower scans.