• After witnessing the continued decrease of involvement in the SpotterNetwork staff in serving SN members with troubleshooting issues recently, I have unilaterally decided to terminate the relationship between SpotterNetwork's support and Stormtrack. I have witnessed multiple users unable to receive support weeks after initiating help threads on the forum. I find this lack of response from SpotterNetwork officials disappointing and a failure to hold up their end of the agreement that was made years ago, before I took over management of this site. In my opinion, having Stormtrack users sit and wait for so long to receive help on SpotterNetwork issues on the Stormtrack forums reflects poorly not only on SpotterNetwork, but on Stormtrack and (by association) me as well. Since the issue has not been satisfactorily addressed, I no longer wish for the Stormtrack forum to be associated with SpotterNetwork.

    I apologize to those who continue to have issues with the service and continue to see their issues left unaddressed. Please understand that the connection between ST and SN was put in place long before I had any say over it. But now that I am the "captain of this ship," it is within my right (nay, duty) to make adjustments as I see necessary. Ending this relationship is such an adjustment.

    For those who continue to need help, I recommend navigating a web browswer to SpotterNetwork's About page, and seeking the individuals listed on that page for all further inquiries about SpotterNetwork.

    From this moment forward, the SpotterNetwork sub-forum has been hidden/deleted and there will be no assurance that any SpotterNetwork issues brought up in any of Stormtrack's other sub-forums will be addressed. Do not rely on Stormtrack for help with SpotterNetwork issues.

    Sincerely, Jeff D.

08/09/08 FCST: MI

Mike Kovalchick

Mike Kovalchick

EF3
Joined
Jan 28, 2005
Messages
234
Location
Haslett, Michigan
Chase Target for Saturday, August 9

Chase target:

Petoskey, Michigan

Timing and storm mode:

Waterspouts. All day.

Discussion:

Conditions for waterspouts in the near shore waters of Northern Lake Michigan appear to be coming together for an outbreak possibily similar to what occurred further South on Lake MI yesterday.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=17232&source=0

The parameters outlined in the Szilaguyi waterspout nomogram should be met.
http://www.essl.org/ECSS/2007/abs/07-Climatology/1178114308.keul-1-sec07.oral.pdf

Unseasonable cold air out of Canada will be blowing across the warm waters..creating a 850 mb Delta T's in the 15 C range with the Lake temps around 70 F.
Winds will be out of the NW which should blow any convective elements that form towards the SE shore. Lake induced equilibrium levels should be above 25K feet.

Models differences between the NAM and the GFS on Bufkit soundings for APX suggest early morning or late afternoon as possible good viewing times. Little Traverse Bay...with the help of land breeze convergence into the bay could be a particuarly good spot.

NWS APX Discussion for this event:

http://kamala.cod.edu/mi/latest.fxus63.KAPX.html
 
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