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06/09/2009 NOW: KS/OK

I'm just south of Yates Center and there's a new cell just off to my west in Greenwood Co. After moving through cold air for so long, I was pretty surprised to get out of my car and feel such warm moist southerlies here. Boundary must be nearby. Going to go ahead and keep an eye on this one for a bit. Worried they may have trouble maintaining isolation. Who knows ...
 
Stuck at work but at 5PM CDT caught a glimpse of a wall cloud just north of Galena, KS (lots of trees, not good chase country.) As it went behind the trees lots of dust and some apparent debris kicked out into the clearing visible to the east. This would have been in the Carl Junction, MO area as best I could tell distance.
 
Saving money for Fabian so I decided not to chase today, but I'm nowcasting Craig for the one by Grant Co. near Medford. My dice is on that storm, but I do like the ones up by ICT on the boundary as well.

EDIT: There also looks like something popping up near Winfield KS
 
Three big spots have all initiated:

***NE of ICT there are cells forming on the boundary. I can't resolve the exact sfc conditions and whether or not they are going to ingest the cooler, less appealing air to the north. But the mesoanalysis page does indicate that the mesolow has formed there, and just along the eastern aspect where winds are out of the E/SE look great. Good radar returns too. Satellite shows big overshooting tops.

***DDC area. Storms have fired there apparently along the edge of the dryline. There's a triple point there and, though it appears as if they're linear on base reflectivity, seem to have a shot of being picturesque.

***C OK. An isolated storm appears to have gotten together over the area of maximum instability. The winds are less favorable here (out of the SSW) and only appear to have hodographs of around 60 degrees. That said, who doesn't like high instability and isolated cells?
 
Have no choice but to stick with this convective cluster ... just hoping that something is able to root itself and overpower the surrounding cells at some point. We need one big storm, instead of 20 medium sized ones.
 
I'm going to disagree with you on the DDC storm...looks like it's latched onto the boundary and is taking a hard right turn. I hope there's someone nearby as it could be the storm of the hour. Hook looks to be going right over the radar.
 
Looks like a good time for Mike Umscheid to be punching the time clock and heading out the door. I believe he was on the day shift today, reporting at 10:00 AM. :)
The storm is only severe warned, at this point.
 
I don't think we're disagreeing, btw: I like the DDC storm a lot.

The LCLs there are quite high. But a lot of other terrific ingredients have come together there. It's at the triple point as I noted, the best hodograph I can piece together from mesoanalysis, and it's still got the meaty air yet to ingest. I see the hook, but wonder if that's just a different precip core. I am away from my GRLevel3: does anyone know if the DDC storm has got a meso yet?

I'm going to disagree with you on the DDC storm...looks like it's latched onto the boundary and is taking a hard right turn. I hope there's someone nearby as it could be the storm of the hour. Hook looks to be going right over the radar.
 
I'm going to disagree with you on the DDC storm...looks like it's latched onto the boundary and is taking a hard right turn. I hope there's someone nearby as it could be the storm of the hour. Hook looks to be going right over the radar.

Vortex 2 is on that storm.

That storm initiated right near the triple point. All day I thought if I was chasing, I'd want to be pretty far back west towards the dryline and near the dryline/warm front intersection.
 
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There's significant convergence if you take a look at base reflectivity. It's very close to the radar so relative velocity even at the lowest tilt won't provide much information, visually. The boundary orientation isn't favorable with SW mid-level flow but the storm seems to be extremely deviant to the right of the mean flow and is ingesting the warm air south of the boundary. Should be fun to watch!
 
115mph marker on the DDC storm, but it looks like it may have crossed north of the boundary.
 
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