Danny Neal
EF5
A rain foot can have an appearance of a curling upward movement that can look deceptively like an updraft. However, my understanding of microbursts (dry or wet) is that they are true downdraft phenomena, and usually they occur in the front flank of a storm. In this case, I'm wondering if the d/d we're seeing is actually the rear flank downdraft wrapping around an updraft core. The microbursts I've seen have been violent and usually did not induce shelf cloud formation (which I guess wouldn't be unheard of).
More to the point: without us knowing what part of the storm we're looking at, it's all speculation. Microbursts do not tend to happen close to the updraft, so a lot depends on whether that clear area is actually associated with an updraft or is of no significance.
I believe it was shot from a web cam on the north side of the airport looking north at the storm. Although when it was live coverage they kept saying this is looking west at the storm approaching so. It seems like they were a little gun-shy. Looking at the radar at the time it did "look" decent for a while there although I thought it would be more of a gargantuan hail producer. When I first looked at the video I thought shelf cloud all the way, but when I saw 20X the speed I noticed there was rotation so I deduced it was at most a low hanging wall cloud with an RFD cut, leading to a strong RFD gust front wrapping around the south side of this feature.(2nd video) I am sure there will more videos on youtube of the future and the NWS will issue their reports but right now I am not too confident I am watching a tornado, let alone a large damaging one.
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