SURPRISE TS Grace Forms

[Jason Foster]

Well, I certainly wasn't even following this, and came to do a check email, twitter, FB, etc. before heading to bed:

This sucker is way up there and already 65mph. That's just crazy.

I wouldn't have thought of this on my own, but the further north you go the greater the Coriolis Effect, which may have aided here.

 

[Stuart Robinson]

LOL watch out England

 

[Jason Foster]

LOL watch out England

LOL...Dude...you could end up with the best intercept all year....that would just be wild.

 

[Tarmo Tanilsoo]

I shouted "Holy Hurricane!" this morning when I woke up amidst a midlatitude storm to this news. It is really too close for comfort. However, it is not expected to make it into British islands, although a simple extrapolation would really direct it that way.

Has there ever been a tropical system forming that far northeast?

Now speaking of a witch... I have been playing around with Emmanuel's hurricane model, and I even managed to create one in my latitude, although that would take some sci-fi SST's to be real. Interesting how cool water though is, only 21. Major midlatitude storm I got in 9 January 2005 formed in 15-17 degrees Celsius SST's. With that said, it is quite stormy in North Europe right now. To more storm systems expected this week.

 

[Jason Foster]

I shouted "Holy Hurricane!" this morning when I woke up amidst a midlatitude storm to this news. It is really too close for comfort. However, it is not expected to make it into British islands, although a simple extrapolation would really direct it that way.

Has there ever been a tropical system forming that far northeast?

Now speaking of a witch... I have been playing around with Emmanuel's hurricane model, and I even managed to create one in my latitude, although that would take some sci-fi SST's to be real. Interesting how cool water though is, only 21. Major midlatitude storm I got in 9 January 2005 formed in 15-17 degrees Celsius SST's. With that said, it is quite stormy in North Europe right now. To more storm systems expected this week.

Look up Hurricane Vince in 2005...I think?

 

[Tarmo Tanilsoo]

Look up Hurricane Vince in 2005...I think?

That was more south, I think. It is already on a latitude more north than the latitude of the place Vince made landfall, IIRC.

 

[Tarmo Tanilsoo]

Just in: It has intensified to 60 kt storm, despite environment and unusual location.

EMHI's weather charts cannot even cope with this storm...

 

[Brian Emfinger]

http://www.eumetsat.int/Home/index.htm < hit play on the video on front page for neat loop of the storm

 

[Tarmo Tanilsoo]

http://www.knmi.nl/satrep/latest.htm

The eye looks clearly visible even on an Europewide satellite picture.

 

[cdcollura]

I wanna be a FISH in my next life ;-)

 

[J Kinkaid]

This is subtropical at best and should have been named on Friday

 

[Jason Foster]

I wanna be a FISH in my next life ;-)

Make that a dolphin for myself....but you bet!

 

[Tarmo Tanilsoo]

Grace is now weakening, according to latest NHC reports. It is really becoming less impressive on the satellite image too. Seeing it is pretty much about to get eaten up by a front...

Couldn't help, but notice the very small size it is having. Wasn't Vince teeny-tiny either? Is this some sort of new European breed of TC's?

 

[Stuart Robinson]

It is all about the thermal gradient (as you know) the air above grace has been VERY cold and this has allowed grace to develop despite the cool surface sea temps. Alas the upper air warms andthe sea gets even colder as Grace moves North West.
I would have love to have gone to Ireland to intercept grace at landfall.

IMO Grace did have a warm core and should have been delcared as a Tropical Storm.