Dean Baron
Supporter
I have a snowboarding trip planned in Vail, CO from December 13th through December 19th. The recent pattern for the Colorado mountains has been rather warm and dry and it looks like that pattern will continue for the most part for the foreseeable future. 384 hour GFS has been bleak with snow accumulation for anywhere in Colorado (while dumping snow in western Wyoming). GEFS has some of its members showing significant snow over the next 384 hours, but more than half of its 9 of its 20 members show little to nothing. Even members that show significant accumulations don't show anything until 200+ hours out so you have to take that with a grain of salt. The CFS is showing 850mb temps well above freezing out to early December. Granted, the resolution is probably not good enough to pick up the subtle influences of the mountains, but it's still not a good sign to be either cold enough to make snow or for a significant snow storm. Having said that, I am far from an expert at forecasting weather in the mountains or knowing what patterns to look for in long range models that could produce strong snowstorms for the Colorado Rockies. I know it's a ways out and things will likely change quite a bit, but just wondering if anyone on here has any insight I could use to give me some hope of having some decent snow in about a month because right now it's not looking good.