Mark Farnik
EF5
Looks like Sunday afternoon and evening may bring Colorado's first severe weather of 2006. B) A strong cold front is projected to backdoor from the north/northeast during the late afternoon/evening hours. Ahead of the front strong south/southeasterly low level flow will pump Gulf moisture into the northeastern plains of Colorado with TD's forecast to be in the low 50's. Combine that with forecast 70 + degree surface temperatures and 2,000 + j/kg of instability and you have a recipe for severe weather in the High Plains.
It's nice to see the close spread of the temperatures and dewpoints this early in the year. Doesn't look to be real big, but I am on my deathbed from SDS and at this point I'll take anything I can get. I'm lusting for some nice storm structure and some great lightning. I'm anxious to try out the lightning capabilities of my Nikon D70S.
Of course we're still 72 hours out from the event, so a lot of things can change between now and then, but come Sunday morning if the forecast still looks this good I'm going to be heading out to Sterling about 3 p.m. and wait for initiation since the best dynamics and dewpoints will be over the far northeastern corner (Logan/Sedgwick/Phillips counties) and then go from there.
Any thoughts/observations?
Of course we're still 72 hours out from the event, so a lot of things can change between now and then, but come Sunday morning if the forecast still looks this good I'm going to be heading out to Sterling about 3 p.m. and wait for initiation since the best dynamics and dewpoints will be over the far northeastern corner (Logan/Sedgwick/Phillips counties) and then go from there.
Any thoughts/observations?