matt patterson
EF2
I figured that its time to go ahead and start this thread since it looks like it will be friday at the very earliest. I took a look at the 12z nam/wrf from this morning and found it very interesting as it does not have the front on tuesday making it anywhere near the gulf. In fact it has more of a stationary front developing near the red river by wed night. the nam/wrf also develop a sfc low over NC NM at the same time. If this soln were to occur then we would see an ample amount of time for moisture return for the late week dynamics allowing for a possible big springtime event. also to note that some of the models from 6z develop a closed low by late week somewhere in the border regions of OK/CO/KS/NM which would start the moisture advection a lot sooner than previously thought....
Will be an interesting one to watch...
Will be an interesting one to watch...