Adam Lucio
EF5
MODS: Add states as needed.
Looks like the midwest could see its first round of severe storms Wednesday evening and overnight. Not looking like a big tornado threat at all but the GFS does show CAPE up to 1500 ahead of a southward advancing cold front with 60s tds ahead of it. Speed shear and forcing along the front seem more than adequate to get a linear complex of storms going.
Timing looks to be an issue as things look like they could light up just before dark when instability begins to wane, but with the forcing and shear in place that could be enough to promote a fast moving line of low topped storms capable of damaging winds. Given it is 5 days away I won't look into it more than that at this point.
(image may be time sensitive)
Looks like the midwest could see its first round of severe storms Wednesday evening and overnight. Not looking like a big tornado threat at all but the GFS does show CAPE up to 1500 ahead of a southward advancing cold front with 60s tds ahead of it. Speed shear and forcing along the front seem more than adequate to get a linear complex of storms going.
Timing looks to be an issue as things look like they could light up just before dark when instability begins to wane, but with the forcing and shear in place that could be enough to promote a fast moving line of low topped storms capable of damaging winds. Given it is 5 days away I won't look into it more than that at this point.
(image may be time sensitive)