Optimism about the end of the week is trending down. Model consistency is definitely not great. It’ll be interesting to evaluate things once it’s in range of the NAM. Hopefully this weekend in Colorado isn’t the peak of the season.
You can pass the baton to me Ethan. I am heading out east to west. Nebraska wed.. on the way out. Eyeing an few days this coming week. If it is a dud, my wife and i can always find a burger and a beer while targeting.I'm heading out again for a few days this week, although my optimism has trended down significantly from what it was when I returned from my last trip on Saturday (was gone for a week). This pattern is starting to feel like I fell asleep and woke back up in 2014 and it's on repeat. Let's hope there is a Mid-June payout I guess? Either way I'll be chasing my way back east from WED in Nebraska to probably shelf cloud chasing on Thursday in IL lol.
geez..so how many?well I have seen years that are a lot worse than this, but you got to love "The Hoard"
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well i figure 3x more than what you see ..so 175... heading out noon tues..not liking a holiday weekend but might get a chase day in each day till sun from what i seeI counted over 50 .. but that's only who is reporting , usually there are a lot that don't report who tag along in the group to. , but I've seen more than 100 before to and that is considered a NO GO area for me lol
Both this morning's Euro and the GEFS look relatively milquetoast.Jeff what are you seeing in the large scale outlook from 4 -11 June. I am calling into question my trip timing.
That's tough when you're flying in. Last year I had a week off for chasing, and aside from one marginal day on the first Saturday, there was really nothing else. So I skipped the long drive for just one marginal day, and went mountain biking in Moab instead!Jesse, yeah -- good points, I think I am trying to look at it from the preponderance of factors , do I stick with landing on the 28th and maybe get that day, the 29th and maybe the 30th before things shut off almost entirely? or do I wait a week and hope the ridge isn't so dramatic. and even if the probs are lowered , gives me maybe more potential days to select from once the meso-scale features come into view. I hate feeling like I'm going to waste a 9 day trip! .. lol
I just so happen to already be in Garden City! Jackpot! Was thinking the exact same thing, may scoot north just a bit, but we'll see how conditions play out. That really escalated quickly from 5% yesterday up to 15% hatched!yeah, if I were out there today I would probably be sitting in Garden/Scott city... on that note I think I am going to cancel for this upcoming week. its just not looking good.. gonna swap to 4 - 12 June.
A bit off topic but I think it’s important to vent. Might be more appropriate to start a different thread but I’ll leave that to the mods to decide.Anybody else ever ask themselves if it’s worth investing so much time, money and emotion in a hobby where we have almost no control over our experiences???