Hoping that April is just active enough to keep me sane, i.e. one or two tornado days, then late May and early June be active. See 2016. Nonetheless, I'm definitely no long range expert, but the CFS and GEFS/EPS ensembles appear to indicate some west troughing with potentially an open gulf in the 4/10+ timeframe. I'd gladly take a 5% tornado or two in KS at this point. Anecdotally, the early season west troughing activity with deep lows and only mild southwest drought would lead me to guess that this season bears some resemblance to 2019. At least so far it has seemed to be the case. I recall 2019 also had a number of days where the EML was prevalent early and cap prevented some otherwise hefty setups from producing. Again, this is all anecdotal but so far from a pattern and even tornado numbers standpoint we appear to be picking up where we left off in 2019. I personally would favor some more big, long trackers but out in open fields of course. I'm still waiting at my chance for redemption for largely not being able to chase in 2013, and I'm still waiting for my first EF-4+ tornado.