Southwestern Monsoon 2021

Warren Faidley

Supporter
May 7, 2006
1,933
1,999
21
Mos Isley Space Port
www.stormchaser.com
Figured it was time to start a discussion thread for the 2021 monsoon. I know there are more and more chasers heading to NM and AZ for the season, including dust storm events which are likely just a few weeks away.

Models (GFS and ECMWF) are trying to bring in precipitable water by late next week and the typical, pre-season blast furnace is torching the desert with temps exceeding 110F by the weekend.
 

James K

EF4
Mar 26, 2019
356
145
6
Colorado
Main thing I'm wondering is whether or not this year's monsoon will be a dud like last year.
I know the last drought outlook I saw showed drought-conditions continuing right on through the end of September. for a large part of the country. which isn't a good sign. (though I did notice the eastern half of CO is not included, so maybe we'll get some more normal rain here?)
Is there any sort of long-term forecast/outlook that specifically looks at the monsoon?