Predict the Number of Tornadoes and First high Risk of 2018

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Mark Blue

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Feb 19, 2007
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Last call for entries to the contest. It’ll run until March 31st at midnight. For those who have missed the total number of tornadoes, the state(s), or the exact date for the first High Risk, please contact a staff member so we can edit your post with the missing information by the deadline or not long after (couple of days). At stake is a $100.00 gift card to Amazon, B&H, or Newegg (winner’s choice) and bragging rights for a year.

We’ll put together the rules in the near future and post them here. I’d like for the OP @Jacob Hernandez to provide some input in the other thread where we’ve been discussing these items found here.
 

Carl Berghoff

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Mar 27, 2018
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Butternut, Wisconsin
Well although we have had a quiet start, (We all remember how in 2011 one day can change all of that) I would expect that we still will have a very active year ending up with tornado totals of approx. 1100 with the first High Risk on April 25 over SE Oklahoma and W Arkansas. Never tried predicting something this exact lol.
--Carl
 
Apr 5, 2010
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Omaha, Nebraska
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827 Verified and 1st High on 4/28/18. Forecasting persistence from the last Post La Nina year, 2014. Also CFS starts to ramp up right around April 28th so it seems like a good guess. If we get a repeat of 2014, Dixie Alley gets hit in late April, we get one or two good days in the central plains in early May, then everything shifts into Nebraska / IA northern plains from early June all the way into July.
 
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