Discussion in 'Tropical forum' started by MikeD, Mar 27, 2018.
Take a guess at when the first Hurricane, not tropical storm or depression is going to form.
I guess...July 16?
Since we're throwing random guesses up in the air: August 8th.
Because Franklin August 7-10?
TSR is predicting more hurricanes than 2017 at this time!
Anyway, this is a free discussion about the hurricanes of 2018.
Wasn't even sure what you referenced, until I went to check. Amazing how slow last year started (other than the cheap tropical storms). But given that August 10th is the climatologist first hurricane on average, why not!
Out of curiosity, do you work at NHC Miami?
Haha, no sir I live in Orlando and have some tropical background - did the coursework and research towards a MS in tropical meteorology at FSU a decade ago (though never finished the thesis) - but certainly never made it that far. I may have more connections to the tropical field than many in the chasing community, but I'm certainly not a seminal authority on such topics!
2018 is looking like it’s going to be an overestimated season. I’m surprised how bold NCSU is being this season, though. It could be another 2004/2005 repeat, but NOAA is deflating the energy.
Since the sea temperatures are lower than last year and we don’t have La Niña anymore, we might be looking at something boring, like the 1997 or the 2014 season.