Hurricanes of 2018

Discussion in 'Tropical forum' started by MikeD, Mar 27, 2018.

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  1. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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    Take a guess at when the first Hurricane, not tropical storm or depression is going to form.
     
  2. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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    I guess...July 16?
     
  3. Shane Young

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    Since we're throwing random guesses up in the air: August 8th.
     
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  4. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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    Because Franklin August 7-10?
     
  5. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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  6. Shane Young

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    Wasn't even sure what you referenced, until I went to check. Amazing how slow last year started (other than the cheap tropical storms). But given that August 10th is the climatologist first hurricane on average, why not!
     
  7. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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    Out of curiosity, do you work at NHC Miami?
     
  8. Shane Young

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    Haha, no sir :) I live in Orlando and have some tropical background - did the coursework and research towards a MS in tropical meteorology at FSU a decade ago (though never finished the thesis) - but certainly never made it that far. I may have more connections to the tropical field than many in the chasing community, but I'm certainly not a seminal authority on such topics!
     
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  9. MikeD

    MikeD EF0

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    2018 is looking like it’s going to be an overestimated season. I’m surprised how bold NCSU is being this season, though. It could be another 2004/2005 repeat, but NOAA is deflating the energy.

    http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

    Since the sea temperatures are lower than last year and we don’t have La Niña anymore, we might be looking at something boring, like the 1997 or the 2014 season.
     

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