They are basing it on percentages: They figured 250,000 just in New Orleans that did not evacuate, and based on people coming out and rescue numbers, they figure at least 1/3 of the people that stayed drowned. Then they added in the estimates from the Mississippi Coastal Areas.That seems totally unrealistic. Any ideas on how they broke that down?DHS was giving an estimated figure of 100,000...absolutely incredible. If this turnes out to be true, not only will it be the deadliest hurricane in US history, but it will actually be deadlier than all of the hurricanes in the past combined.
I'm not saying that this will be 100% accurate, but based on a lot of stories coming out, the number of dead vs the given figures are already way off.