Chase trips - are you as flexible as you can be?

Discussion in 'Introductory weather & chasing' started by Dan Robinson, May 22, 2018.

  1. Jeff House

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    Time for another investing metaphor. I'd say just follow your own rules. DEN/CYS chasers should probably get after upslope in the back yard. I prefer true DL systems but with a slow moving trough. Lead-up days offer more chances, which means a greater overall chance of success on the trip.

    Wyoming action this year is like the stock that got away. Changing rules based in it is like chasing stocks. However, WY does back up one valid rule. Get out there! Staying home offers near zero chance.

    Also my rules call for outflow boundaries. I would have missed Ensign, KS but I'm not changing my own rules. Again, if your own rules call for chasing upslope, do not change. It is kind of like value and growth investing. Both are valid methods, but they have very different rule books.
     
  2. Todd Lemery

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    A footnote to what Dan said. There’s no way in hell I would have made the Laramie call. I’m pretty average in the forecasting department and the dynamics of that day would never have even crossed my mind. Kudos to those of you who nailed it. If I had been out chasing that day, I wouldn’t have. I’m pretty confident that if that same scenario popped up 5-10 years from now I would miss it again
     
  3. Quincy Vagell

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    Another thought came to mind...

    It's usually not a good idea to book a hotel more than 6-12 hours in advance, unless you have a flight and it becomes necessary.

    The reason being that chase targets can change drastically, even in the short term. The last thing you want is to get stuck at a hotel that's out of range or have to cancel and still get charged.

    I've rarely found issues with hotels being completely booked while chasing. Exceptions can be made for holiday weekends, especially near cities and tourist destinations.
     

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