• Please note this new thread in the Announcements forum regarding updated management of the site. Jeff Duda has agreed to assume ownership and lead management responsibilities during what is anticipated to be a 3-12-month interim period while we perform some updates to the site, including changing the hosting. The staff will do their best to provide timely and transparent updates throughout this transition period.

  • A website update occured last week that rendered some of the page display styles obsolete. If you have logged onto the site and are experiencing a strange or messy appearance, it is likely due to this factor. An inadvertent mistake in the meantime likely made this issue worse. It has hopefully now been fixed. See this thread for details on the fix. --Jeff

2023-11-20 EVENT: TX/AR/LA/MS

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As of 10p Sunday, it looks like a "moderate" risk (using SPC's terminology) for tornadoes, likely strong, will exist Monday from roughly AEX to ELD to JAN to AEX. The SPC's enhanced risk is fine except the northern boundary should run from SHV to 25 N ELD to join the existing enhanced NE of JAN.

Look at the supercells on the RRFS as of 22Z Monday. The surface low is forecast to be on the AR-LA border WNW of MLU and move east with the warm front moving north. This could be a dangerous situation, especially if it is able to continue into eastern LA and MS after dark.