Thursday has been on my radar for a few days. SPC has it highlighted in their day 4 outlook. Looks like we will have a warm front draped across the NE/KS border by Thursday afternoon/evening and a dryline/cold front across western KS. Forecast soundings show quite a bit of shear along the warm front with 0-1km SRH in the 200-300 range with 30 knots of shear and 0-3km SRH over 400 and perhaps over 500 if you cherry pick the soundings and 50 knots of shear. Instability doesn’t look to be crazy but forecast soundings show solid MLCAPE values of 2500-3000. Combined with low LCLs it could be a decent set up. It’s outside the range of the CAMs right now. It’d be nice to get an idea of what they are thinking for storm mode and evolution but we’ve already seen this season that the CAMs don’t always get it right anyway so it might be a moot point. NAM is much more bullish on the parameters than the GFS is, although that might just be a resolution different between the two because the GFS is still throwing out some decent forecast soundings. It’ll be interesting to see the day 3 in the morning. If the NAM verifies it could be a pretty good setup on Thursday. Curious to get anyone else’s opinions.