Hi @Richard Mark Stephens, I second what @Royce Sheibal says previous page. Kind of depends on your risk (of failure) tolerance. Gosh, I sound like a mutual fund adviser! I believe 3-5 chasable set-ups will take place next week, probably not in a row. Could be in pairs or 3 and 1. Yeah targets might be pretty spread out even from one day to the next. What is considered success? If one decent tornado, I think you can do it. If looking for two good tornado days, assuming a .333 batting average, it could be tough. Who knows, just one multi-cyclical meso-scale accident can make a year. You know what's most frustrating? Not having a total solar eclipse to fall back on in August!