2017-05-08 EVENT: CO, NM

Discussion in 'Target Area' started by John Farley, May 7, 2017.

  1. John Farley

    John Farley Member

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    Looks like some decent potential tomorrow in eastern CO and perhaps far northeast NM. There will be upslope flow, decent CAPE for this altitude in the 1000-2000 range, dewpoints in the 50s and maybe low 60s (again, decent for this altitude) and a boundary in the form of a back-door cold front. Some disagreement among the models on exactly where that boundary will be, but if it is near either the Palmer Divide or the Raton Mesa, or maybe even if it is somewhere between, supercells will be likely and tornadoes possible. I am leaning strongly toward heading out for my first chase of the season, pretty good bet to at least see some pretty storms, and maybe more.
     
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  2. David Mayhew

    David Mayhew Member

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    I like the potential of the NM target, plus if in TX and won't make it to CO. HRRR has the CO out break turning into an mcs pretty quickly where as NM seems to remain a little more descrete


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