1997-05-27: Jarrell, TX F5

Discussion in '1990s' started by Darrin Rasberry, Apr 17, 2009.

  1. Opening up a can of meteorological worms with this one. The cell moved southwest, producing a huge F5 tornado that obliterated the town of Jarrell, Texas. The radar grab can be seen here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=92DadB6ZnbE

    I would be interested to hear from people chasing that day, and from people who have opinions on the odd storm motion the supe took.
     
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  2. Chris Lott

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  3. STurner

    STurner EF2

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    In my opinion this is one of the few tornadoes that created damage that was beyond my imagination. The other two tornadoes were Harper, Kansas May 12, 2004 and Hitchcock/Red Willow, Nebraska June 15, 1990.
     
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  4. Greg Blumberg

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    I don't have any real scientific data, actual chase account or anything of that sort, but I can recall a personal account of traveling up through central Texas on that day. We would often take a spring trip up to Ft Worth to visit family. I believe our route would be to take some highway up from Houston to get to I-35. Usually our spring trips would be be filled with us driving through spring storms and getting some pea sized hail knocking on our car.

    On this instance we were either in Jarrell or within the path of the supercell that did hit it, stopped at a McDonalds. My dad asked my sisters and I if we wanted to play at the play-place for fifteen minutes or if we wanted to leave. We chose to leave.

    Our trip up I-35, a few minutes after we left, my mother mentioned how much the storm outside looked like it had "tornado clouds." Both she and my father had both grown up in North TX. They were not sure what to call it.

    When we reached Ft. Worth, we found my grandmother sitting at the TV with the Jarrell tornado out and saw the destruction of the town we went through. We missed the event by about fifteen minutes. I felt pretty disappointed since I, being 8 at the time and already interested in weather, missed seeing that tornado. It was my final push at being interested in weather, and I vowed that I would see a tornado someday (mission accomplished.)

    In the past few years I began to realize the significance of that event and did a lot of research on what happened that day. I just don't remember where exactly I was that day.

    Here's a couple of the links to sites that I've found:

    SPC's page on the event: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/coolimg/jarrell/index.html

    Data filled analysis page: http://homepages.vvm.com/~curtis/Jarrell/Jarrell.htm

    SPC Paper: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/publications/corfidi/jarrell.htm
     
  5. Jason Harris

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    So was there some sort of eventual consensus on the SW movement being from this gravity wave?

    --
    from:
    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/publications/corfidi/jarrell.htm

    And does this conclusion also suggest that the gravity wave might have been partly responsible for the intensification up to F5, as well as a vote for super instability beats out mild shear?


    I remember seeing the newspapers covering this tornado, and how incredibly powerful that thing was (reading about not just the asphalt but the plumbing pulled out of the ground), and the notable contrast with the little rope that started things off in one of the youtube archived news reports:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLL8o-urKZ0&feature=related
    Note that Lon Curtis's account includes this commentary:
    How's this for a stark image:
    http://www.rogersadler.com/Jarrell_tornado/pages/pole_mattress_spings.htm
     
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    #5 Jason Harris, May 9, 2009
    Last edited by a moderator: May 9, 2009
  6. One that got away...

    For me, this was the one chase that got away from me. I had just moved to Waco to live with my brother temporarily while transitioning from undergraduate studies a Creighton to graduate studies at Texas A&M. I hadn't seen a weather map in like 2 weeks. I remember NWS FWD doing a special weather statement alluding to severe weather potential. I remember seeing the updraft go up like a bomb. My brother worked in Hewitt at the time and told me about the funnels in the area. I wanted to chase, but was by myself. I had no data at all, and didn't like chasing blind, not knowing what I was up against. My brother didn't have internet access at his house yet. In 1997, chasing with a laptop and internet was just catching on and it was dial up at 14.4k or 9600 at best. On ya, you had to either stop at a truck stop to plug into a phone line or have enough cell minutes to dial through your bag phone. Regrettably, I stayed put and watched the storm go off from a distance. In hind sight, all I had to do was drive down I-35 and I would have seen like 4 tors that day. Oh well. Since then I've had plenty of other should've chased days. Live to chase another day I guess.

    To answer the questions above - I think Lon Curtis and Al Moller's write up sums up what I think about the event. I think the SW movement was more due to perturbation pressure forces on the sw flank of the initial updraft as well as convergence along the boundary. Kind of the path of least resistance. If anything, the gravity wave played a role in initiation of the convection or a least weakening the cap. Those are hard to prove. I do not think the gravity wave had anything to do with tornadogenesis.

    I think in this case the extreme instability - observed 6000-7000 j/kg and I think even a TAMU sounding in the area showed as much as 9000 j/kg, but could be wrong - played a major role. The intense updraft resulting from the release of that much instability used what enhanced helicity there was near the boundary to gain low level rotation. From looking at some of the sfc maps it looked like from some of the obs there were winds with a more easterly component. I just think you probably had some wound up low level hodographs near the boundary which the storm was able to locally enhance and take advantage of. Since then there have been many documented cases of tornadic storms moving along or across boundaries. This case was just a freak case mainly because the environmental shear was weak at best. I suspect that locally along the boundary the shear, or at least low level turning of winds with height, was enhanced for the storm to gain rotation. I could be wrong, but IMO, this is again just another case where a boundary in the presence of extreme instability made all the difference in storm behavior and tornadoes on that day.
     
    #6 Scott Overpeck, May 10, 2009
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2009
  7. Shawn Schuman

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    I hope you guys don't mind me bumping this old thread with my own link, but I recently finished a blog post on the Jarrell tornado. I don't think there's really anything new, but the story itself is pretty fascinating. Beyond the bizarre meteorological aspects, the fact that so many people did exactly what they were supposed to do and still died was really striking to me. Here's a link:

    http://stormstalker.wordpress.com/2012/11/23/jarrell-tornado/
     
  8. Terrence Cook

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    Excellent Write-up, thanks for taking the time!
     
  9. Shawn Schuman

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    Thank you Terrence, glad you liked it! Jarrell has always been fascinating in a disturbing sort of way.
     
  10. Bob Hartig

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    I agree: you've offered an excellent post. Your writing skills are superb.
     
  11. Shawn Schuman

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    I appreciate the kind words, Bob. I've actually been meaning to contact you. I came across your blog when I was researching my post on the Palm Sunday tornadoes and I really enjoyed it. Anyway, I'll send you a PM so I don't derail the thread.
     
  12. Mark Eslick

    Mark Eslick Guest

    I am from Bruceville-Eddy, which is south of Waco. I was actually at a friends house when the tornado that occurred in Moody was coming towards us. It was definitely an experience to look up and see the tornado coming in my direction. This day is what inspired me to storm chase and study Atmospheric Science.
     
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  13. Robert Forry

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    Great write up on this event, Shawn!
     
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  14. Shawn Schuman

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    Thank you, Robert!
     
  15. calvinkaskey

    calvinkaskey Guest

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    If I'm not mistaken the tornado wasn't moving more than 20 mph and could have easily been outrun and everyone could have been saved if they got into a vehicle in time.
     
    calvinkaskey
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  16. rdale

    rdale EF5

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    Calvin, that conclusion doesn't pass the "common sense" test...
     
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  17. calvinkaskey

    calvinkaskey Guest

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    How is that? I chased the tornado on my avatar and kept up with it and caught it through winding country roads even when stopping to video and check on people. Was on it for like 15 minutes.
     
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    #17 calvinkaskey, Mar 18, 2015
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  18. Shawn Schuman

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    I think it's fair to say that some people could have survived had they been in their cars and simply driven away from the area. It's the "everyone could have been saved if they got in their vehicles" part that doesn't quite check out. Although I will say that if you're ever going to get in your car and try to escape a tornado (which is generally not at all advisable), this is one for which it may not have been the worst plan. As I said earlier, the thing that struck me was the number of people who did exactly what you're taught to do (shelter at home in the innermost room on the lowest level, seek a sturdy, well-built structure if you live in a mobile home, etc.) and still were killed. Just a confluence of terrible circumstances.
     
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  19. Shane Adams

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    689 people could've survived 90 years ago if they hadn't been in the tornado's path.
     
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  20. Shawn Schuman

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    Those other six people were doomed from the start, then? That's sad. :(
     
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  21. Andy Berrington

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    May. 31st. 2013.

    April. 10th. 1979.

    Yes, while outrunning the Jarrell tornado in particular may have been a viable option, this case was an exception to the rule as far as most tornado events go. You can't apply the "drive away from the path being the best option" theory to the vast majority of events.
     
  22. calvinkaskey

    calvinkaskey Guest

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    Well the NWS should take it into account when there is a slow moving ef 5 and no basements in an area that usually doesn't have a lot of violent tornadoes
     
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  23. Andy Berrington

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    Why should the NWS take this into account on a general basis? Like I said, this event was an exception to the rule as far as most tornado events go.

    I don't see how this should be suddenly pinned on them. For this case in particular, the survivability rate within the core of the tornado's path was very low, but that rarely applies even in the strongest tornadoes.
     
  24. calvinkaskey

    calvinkaskey Guest

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    That tornado was moving like 55-73 plus mph
     
  25. Shawn Schuman

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    There's absolutely no way the NWS nor anyone else would or should advise people to get in their cars and flee a tornado. That's just completely irresponsible and dangerous. For one thing, there's no way to tell the intensity of a tornado while it's in progress, so the idea that you'd only make such a recommendation when there's a "slow-moving F5" is flawed from the start. For another, 99% of the time you're much safer sheltering in your home than getting into your car. Even a weak tornado can seriously injure or kill you in your car, while the majority of people survive in their homes even if they're struck by an EF5. Jarrell was an extreme aberration - in fact, it's the only tornado I can think of in which the survival rate in the core of the path was zero - and it would be deeply misguided to base any sort of policy on that.

    But even if we ignore all of those things, what's going to happen when you tell people that they can't survive in their homes and they need to flee? Traffic jams, car accidents, and mass panic. The odds are pretty good that that'd be worse than the tornado itself, especially when you end up with potentially hundreds of people (or more?) stuck in their cars on crowded roads with a violent tornado bearing down on them. That's a good recipe for mass fatalities.
     

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