09/01/2016 - Tropical Storm Hermine

Discussion in 'Tropical forum' started by Dan Robinson, Aug 31, 2016.

  1. Dan Robinson

    Dan Robinson WxLibrary Editor
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    Starting a master thread for this storm. Models seem to agree on a mostly inland track after landfall instead of a re-emergence over water, which will introduce some potential for low-topped supercell tornadoes. The NAM and GFS both show a dry slot working in on the southeastern quadrant of the storm.

    Of interest is that this is the first storm (that I can remember) of TS or greater intensity that we'll have a 4KM WRF forecast. It's interesting that this model is showing some cellular convection in the outer bands in South Carolina on Friday. If I were able, I would make this a two-day inland TC tornado chase, starting in Georgia and moving into NC/VA on Saturday. I doubt the storm's center will be of much chaseworthy interest after landfall.
     
  2. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Dan,

    I'm on this one here in South Florida...

    Myself and two other Sky Warn drivers are currently in Fort Myers FLA

    We will be riding north bound up I - 75 in the morning looking in between the feeder bands visually and radar...

    Tornados usually drop out of the feeder bands on the east northeast side of the storm bands...

    Already getting hit pretty good here with strong feeder bands and 30 - 40 MPH wind gusts...


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  3. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  4. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  5. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  6. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    As of 10:00 AM EST

    We are now in Tampa FLA on I - 75


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  7. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  8. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Easterly Storm Feeder bands now heading towards land off the Gulf of Mexico... Cat 1 storm by tonight...


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  9. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  10. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Waterspout - Tampa - north of Skyway Bridge


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  11. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  12. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Feeder bands now impacting Tampa - St Petersburg / Clearwater Beach area...


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  13. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Destination currently for us - The Perry and Live Oak Florida area by 3:00 PM EST


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  14. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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  15. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Arriving into the city of Alachua...

    The storm eye center of circulation now coming into Doppler Radar loop range...


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  16. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Live Oak Florida - 3:45 PM EST

    Off I - 10 and 75


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  17. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Feeder Band rolling in south of I - 10


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  18. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Rolling in....


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  19. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Hard rain and Severe Lightning...


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  20. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Storm tracking almost due North...

    Rain bands heavy coming into Perry FL...


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  21. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Flooding...
     

    Attached Files:

    #21 Ryan Toemmes, Sep 1, 2016
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 1, 2016
  22. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

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    Heavy flooding heading towards Perry Beach...


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  23. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    HWY / County Road 30 / 98

    West Perry...


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  24. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Heading towards Wakulla Florida off HWY 98 / CR 267

    Heavy solid rain now... High water - Storm Surge -

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    Center of eye circulation tracking dead ahead at our location... 155 miles SSW

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    #24 Ryan Toemmes, Sep 1, 2016
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 1, 2016
  25. Ryan Toemmes

    Ryan Toemmes Guest

    Heading into Walluka off 98 onto CR 267...

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    Water level coming up... Storm Surge Increasing...

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