Ida

[cdcollura]

Good day all,

Ida is a tropical depression in response to wind drag with the Central American terrain as well as being cut off from any oceanic heat content.

The system, however, has MISSED the higher terrain over Nicaragua and is entering the coastal plains and should re-emerge over the Caribbean sea in 12-18 hours.

Re-intensification is likely (only if Ida survives the current land crossing) once over the W Caribbean and east of the Yucatan, but most likely, not the strengthening we had earlier before the first landfall.

Right now, a 50 to 55 MPH tropical storm may look likely passing the Yucatan to the east, then bending to the Northeast towards Florida by Monday (11-9) or so.

[Justin Pullin]

Originally Posted by Larry J. Kosch

My research also indicated that Hurricane Faye holds the record for four landfalls in the state of Florida in 2008!

Actually, Faye was only a tropical storm when it made landfall. It did however gain a rather impressive eye feature as it was over land, but never did officially become a hurricane.

[Larry J. Kosch]

Originally Posted by Justin Pullin

Actually, Faye was only a tropical storm when it made landfall. It did however gain a rather impressive eye feature as it was over land, but never did officially become a hurricane.

I stand corrected. I only saw the name "Faye" in a passing reference and assumed it was a hurricane.

[Justin Pullin]

Originally Posted by Larry J. Kosch

I stand corrected. I only saw the name "Faye" in a passing reference and assumed it was a hurricane.

We are actually both wrong as far as the spelling goes. I looked in my old Meteorology Today book and it was spelled Fay...

[cdcollura]

Good day all,

Putting "Faye" (or "Fay") in 2008 aside ... TS Ida is back over water and over warm waters, and is back to TS status.

Movement is to the north, and no more land sould be in it's way ... It will enter the SE Gulf of Mexico with some more strengthening (before it feels the shearing effects from a low pressure trough).

[richhorodner]

My guess: Ida will peak at 80 mph.

Back into Fay. As "it" passed 30 miles to my (Vero Beach, FL) west on a weekend afternoon, just for the heck of it I drove towards Yeehaw Junction (no, that's not in Texas, Ok, or Wi), monitoring the barometric pressure. When it reached a minimum and started back up a little, I came back east a tad to situate myself dead center in the circulation. Temp. about 85 degrees and 80 dewpt. in the center.

Standing in a cirrus overcast, I viewed (and filmed) a lower cloud deck that rose 15% above every horizon; and watched the clouds slooooowly rotate around me in the 360 degree sweep for about 1/2 hr. So, the "eye" was well defined; but the winds on either side were no more than 45 mph when I drove through some relatively heavy rain showers that surrounded that center. When speeding up the video, shot inside the center, the tight circulation was very evident. Cute little intercept of basically meteorological interest only.

It did rain about 18 inches here in two days, though. Very little, if any, thunder or lightning. Lake Okeechobee (largest fresh water lake in the continental USA--other than the Great Lakes on the Canadian border) rose 4 ft during that event; basically ending a two year drought and record low water depth of 8.8 ft.

[Morgan Palmer]

I concur with earlier comment about it achieving hurricane status, but only barely IMO.

As far as Fay goes, when that came in, we were definitely monitoring intensification *over land* in the hours after landfall. The "land" inland of Cape Romano, where Fay made landfall is as much water than land. Plenty of water. One can make the argument that Fay really didn't "think" it had made landfall.

[Dennis Dennison]

November hurricanes mean a nasty spring ahead

[William Combes]

Here is a link to Cancun radar for those watching:

http://www.explorecancun.com/cancun-weather.html

[richhorodner]

Hi-res satellite loop: